JAX-HOU: Texans 30, Jaguars 16 The AFC East rivals split their games this season, with Miami prevailing 21-19 at home in Week 3 and the Bills winning 32-29 in walk-off fashion in snowy Buffalo in Week 15. 4. Detroit Lions (7-10) Mahomes leads Chiefs' comeback BAL-CIN: Bengals 31, Ravens 25 Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans. 1 WR? The Philadelphia Eagles couldn't wrap up the NFC East and the NFC's No. Result: The Giants clinched a wild-card spot with a 38-10 win over the Colts, marking their first playoff berth since 2016. Could the Cowboys look at a running back in first round again? 1 seed but with two challengers hot in pursuit. However, the race to the playoffs continues as top teams in both conferences are still looking to lock in their spots for the postseason and have a chance to do so in Week 17. FPI is giving New York a 24.1% chance of making it happen. 2 seed. Here is the current playoff picture for Week 18 as teams try to reach Super Bowl LVII on Feb. 12 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. The Lions will clinch a playoff spot with a victory over the Packers and a Seahawks loss to the Rams. QB Hot Board | First-round grades 8. 1. That, plus a defense that leads the league in passing defense (179.8 yards allowed per game) and sacks (70) is a good recipe for postseason success. Ranks: Kiper | McShay | Positional ESPN.com national NFL writer; ESPN.com NFC North reporter, 2008-2013; Buccaneers vs. 5. The offense has sputtered during the final month of the season, and Tagovailoa, while still one of the more efficient passers in the NFL, was struggling as opposing defenses took away timing routes over the middle of the field. More ESPN+ content , Reason for concern: If their offense isn't carrying the team, neither the defense nor special teams units have played well enough over the past month to keep the Dolphins competitive. 8. (6) Ravens at (3) Bengals When the Bills quarterback is playing at his best, this team is incredibly difficult to stop. This could be a fatal flaw against superior opponents they face in the playoffs. Even if Jackson returns for the postseason, no one knows how rusty he'll be and how this injury will affect his mobility. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 21.7%. Super Bowl LVI: Rams 23, Bengals 20 How did the Rams . NFL Week 16 playoff picture and clinching scenarios: Bills win AFC East, Chargers, Ravens clinch berths, Top draft prospect Carter charged in fatal crash, Trade Lamar? Reason for concern: The Chiefs have the league's worst kicking game, which is one reason some of the league's bottom-feeding teams have hung around in recent games. A lot of people, you don't see them make those type of jumps that fast. Here's how the NFL playoff picture looks with Week 18 . 1 seed. But the Jaguars steal a division title by sneaking past the sinking Titans, as Jacksonville delivers the final blow in a 30-6 rout in Week 18. You wouldn't really expect it because he seems really skinny, but he's really strong at the catch point and he's good after he catches the ball. The Giants can clinch a berth with a win over the Indianapolis Colts in Week 17. Reason for hope: The Eagles have one of the best rosters in football, an MVP candidate at quarterback in Jalen Hurts and an offense that should be able to adapt to any style. NFL playoff picture: After Seahawks claim NFC West, could the Rams now fall out of the playoffs? The Packers will clinch a playoff spot with a victory over the Lions. In two playoff games last season, Allen threw nine touchdown passes to zero interceptions and threw for more than 600 yards. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. And yes, that means a sub-.500 team will officially win the division, one way or the other. Here are the playoff-clinching scenarios for Week 16 as teams try to reach Super Bowl LVII on Feb. 12 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. FPI chances to make playoffs: 51.9% And who fell just short of the postseason? 1 seed this week because of the Kansas City Chiefs' win over the Denver Broncos on Sunday. The Bills are second in the league in drops (31), which has not helped their turnover number (27, third most in the league). Bengals beat out Ravens for AFC North: In recent weeks, it has felt inevitable that the red-hot Bengals would win this division over the stumbling Ravens. Dolphins Web Use the NFL Playoff Machine from ESPN to predict the NFL Playoff matchups by generating the various matchup scenarios based on your selections. NYG-PHI: Eagles 31, Giants 15 The Cowboys have also beaten Philadelphia and Minnesota, two other top NFC contenders. Reason for concern: Nobody really knows what to expect from rookie quarterback Brock Purdy when the lights burn brightest. Jacksonville Jaguars (8-9) FPI chances to make playoffs: Clinched 15. 1 overall draft pick in late-season stunner: Arizona has just a 2% chance to earn the No. Why the Packers' transition to Jordan Love, whenever it happens, will require patience, A new home for Michael Thomas? The Colts will need help in Week 17 to secure a spot. Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. 10. (7) Miami Dolphins at (2) Kansas City Chiefs, (6) Los Angeles Chargers at (3) Cincinnati Bengals, (5) Baltimore Ravens at (4) Jacksonville Jaguars, Teams that have clinched postseason berths: Bills (AFC East), Chiefs (AFC West), Bengals, Ravens, Chargers, (7) Washington Commanders at (2) Minnesota Vikings, (6) New York Giants at (3) San Francisco 49ers, (5) Dallas Cowboys at (4) Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Wild-card-round bye: (1) Philadelphia Eagles, Teams that have clinched postseason berths: Eagles, Cowboys, 49ers (NFC West), Vikings (NFC North). The offense, which was inconsistent last postseason, has displayed improved efficiency throughout the season and has been able to find different ways to score points. The New York Giants also punched their postseason ticket, as their rout of the Indianapolis Colts clinched New York's first playoff berth since 2016. "He's in my top three receivers. -- NFC defensive player. Buffalo Bills (14-3) Philadelphia Eagles (15-2) His jump cut is amazing. FPI chances to win division: Eliminated New York's last trip to U.S. Bank Stadium was a nail-biter, as the Vikings beat the Giants 27-24 in Week 16 on a walk-off field goal. Chiefs And then the Vikings suffer an upset loss to the Bears in the final week of the season, which allows Brock Purdy and the 49ers to swoop in for the No. Injuries have hit at a bad time. -- Brady Henderson, What's different about facing Smith than Russell Wilson? If he isn't, the Dolphins will start either seventh-round rookie Skylar Thompson or veteran backup Teddy Bridgewater in the wild-card round. 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, Welcome to the 2023 QB market, Derek Carr: Where he could fit, and why the domino effect already has begun, Is the improvement from Geno, Jalen and Tua real? NFL Playoff Bracket 2022: Updated Picture, Schedule After Saturday's Wild Card Kristopher Knox January 15, 2022 Andy Lyons/Getty Images The NFL's Super Wild Card Weekend kicked off with. Arizona Cardinals (8-7): Saturday's loss to the 49ers left the Cardinals needing help to get into the playoffs. With an Eagles' win, the 49ers are the No. -- Adam Teicher, What makes Travis Kelce the toughest tight end in the game? But after both teams lose in Week 17, it comes down to a Week 18 contest. It's not likely, but it's also not out of the question. -- NFC player. They lead the league in scoring, and quarterback Patrick Mahomes is the favorite to win MVP. A matchup with the Dolphins would be a reunion with wide receiver Tyreek Hill, who played six seasons in K.C. As far as having the confidence to put it out there and give his guys a chance, and the ability to put it where it's supposed to be, I think he's at the very top." They'll now need either a win in Week 17 or a loss by the Bears to do so. Jaguars come back to steal AFC South crown: It wasn't pretty. It is, however, a fact that no rookie starting quarterback has ever made the Super Bowl, let alone won it. Compete for $275,000 of prizes, including $15,000 for the top score each week. First-game outlook: The Vikings will host the Giants in a wild-card game on Sunday (4:30 p.m. They'll be dealing with much better quarterbacks and offensive lines in the postseason. He's 'Joe Cool.' Which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine? "He's the focal point of their defense. The Saints avoided playoff elimination by defeating the Panthers. Reset Week Randomize Week Want to predict just the Playoffs? -- AFC player. FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 49.8%. Philadelphia has proved it can excel in a shootout thanks in large part to Hurts' development in the passing game, and if it needs to shift to a ground-based attack due to weather conditions or otherwise, it's more than capable. Result: Defeated the Chicago Bears 35-13 to clinch the AFC East title. Week 17 NFC playoff-clinching scenarios New York Giants (9-6-1) Result: The Giants clinched a wild-card spot with a 38-10 win over the Colts, marking their first playoff berth since 2016. They'll either need to beat the Packers in Week 17 or have the Cardinals lose to the Rams in order to secure their postseason spot. -- NFC offensive player. These live probabilities are used by FPI season projections, which simulate the season based on each team's strength, schedule and tiebreaking rules. We can't have him rolling out and just throwing the ball anywhere. NFL draft questions for teams in the top 10: Will the Colts trade up? Super Bowl odds: +420 He's been able to do it. And the Dolphins, who cut it way too close, hang on against the Jets to snap a five-game losing streak and earn a wild-card berth. NFL playoff picture after Week 18: Lions knock out Packers, send Seahawks to final NFC wild-card berth. First-game outlook: The Jaguars will host the Chargers in the wild-card round on Saturday (8:15 p.m. See our live NFL playoff probabilities, including the projected top seven teams in each conference. 16. Reason for concern: The Giants have one victory this season against a team that entered Week 18 with a winning record. That might not sound like a lot, but it's a fairly high probability for an exact hit; both numbers are higher than when we did this exercise last season. -- Marcel Louis-Jacques, What's the best way to handle Hill and Waddle? In the end the Bills win the Super Bowl! Most likely seed, per FPI: No. With just two weeks left in the 2022 NFL regular season, the playoff picture is shaping up. Check out. ARI-SF: 49ers 31, Cardinals 22 He definitely in my opinion is the MVP of the league." The playoffs begin Jan. 14, with 14 teams making the field, seven from each conference. -- AFC defensive player. FPI chances to win division: Clinched Washington Commanders (8-8-1) LAC-DEN: Broncos 41, Chargers 33 It wasn't even a .500 record. Only 11 players on the active roster were born the last time the Cowboys won a road playoff game. Wide receiver Mike Evans was a big part of that, with three touchdowns -- the first time he'd reached the end zone since Week 4. Box score | Full team stats , Reason for concern: Inconsistency on offense. Dallas Cowboys (13-4) Los Angeles Chargers linebacker Kyle Van Noy offers a film breakdown of Cincinnati Bengals defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo's 'simulated pressures' vs. quarterback Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills. before being traded to Miami in the offseason. If they lose to the Bears, the Packers can still secure home-field advantage if the Seahawks lose to the 49ers. 1 overall selection entering the final two weeks of play, but that's precisely what happens in this simulation. Baltimore will need this defense to be at the top of its game to get through an AFC playoff field that includes Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow and Justin Herbert. DEN-KC: Chiefs 45, Broncos 7 DAL-WSH: Cowboys 47, Commanders 7. Purdy doesn't have to carry the Niners, who have won four playoff games since 2019 with average to below-average quarterback play. 1. When he's in the backfield, he can obviously catch, he can run the ball, so you just don't know what they're gonna do and it's hard to defend a back like that. CLE-PIT: Browns 20, Steelers 12 ET, NBC). 1 spot in the conference. -- AFC offensive player. Things get complicated. 5, 51.8%. The Seahawks clinched the NFC West with Sunday's victory over the Rams. More teams have claimed their spots in the NFC and AFC. 4. Pittsburgh. FPI chances to make playoffs: Clinched Everything is on the table. Houston Texans (4-12-1) First, they need a win over the Jaguars. Los Angeles, making its first playoff appearance since 2018, was stomped by the Jaguars 38-10 at home in Week 3. IND-NYG: Giants 34, Colts 0 The first year of the NFL's expanded playoffs has left us with seven postseason spots still in play as Week 17 approaches. The Ravens have been the NFL's second-lowest scoring offense since Jackson injured his left knee Dec. 4. ET, ABC/ESPN/ESPN+). LAR-LAC: Chargers 49, Rams 27 Reason for concern: For most of the season, the Vikings' defense has ranked last in the NFL in yards allowed. 1. He doesn't get flustered at all. 3. Here is the current playoff picture for Week 18 as teams try to reach Super Bowl LVII on Feb. 12 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. Super Bowl odds: +800 Scores: Week 17 | Week 18 The most notable development of Week 18? Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8) His 77.8 QBR in Weeks 15-17 (vs. Washington, Minnesota, Indianapolis) was second best in the NFL during that span and helped the Giants clinch their first playoff berth since 2016. But after both teams lose in Week 17, it comes down to a Week 18 contest. Reason for hope: The Chargers are getting healthy and peaking at the perfect time. Dolphins cling to playoff spot: After losing in Week 17 to New England, Miami doesn't control its destiny entering Week 18, needing a win and a Patriots loss to get in. NFL 2022 - 2023 Season - NFL - Playoff Predictors Schools Details: WebPlayoff Predictors is a suite of playoff machines that allows you to pick every game of the season (up to the championship), and will correctly rank teams according to the league's espn nfl playoff picture Verified 4 days ago 11. Detroit is eliminated from playoff contention after the Seahawks' win. It is highly recommended that you use the latest versions of a supported browser in order to receive an optimal viewing experience. Miami split its two games with the Bills, defeating Buffalo 21-19 at home in Week 3 and losing to the Bills 32-29 on a walk-off field goal in Week 15. Which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine? "I felt like Geno just had a little bit more command over that offense. Close. 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, entire experience here, as we track the NFC and AFC playoff races in Week 18. Arizona -- which has . They can clinch a playoff berth with a win at the Falcons combined with a loss by the 49ers. Jump to: He can hurt you with his legs." Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 3.1%. But he throws too many picks." 12. "That's the same thing as Lamar [Jackson]. I think [Jefferson is] a really good receiver. 1, 79.7%. 2023 NFL Enterprises LLC. So, if he's looking at a lot of zone looks he'll just find the soft spots over and over and Mahomes has been around him so long he just knows how Kelce will settle in all of those looks. For football fans, the annual unveiling of ESPN's Playoff Machine is as much of a holiday as Christmas or Thanksgiving. Playoff Predictors is a suite of playoff machines that allows you to pick every game of the season (up to the championship), and will correctly rank teams according to the league's rules. Cincinnati is already without right tackle La'el Collins for the rest of the season after he suffered a torn left ACL. Super Bowl odds: +1300 Pittsburgh Steelers (8-9) These matchups are set. Sunday's victory at Jacksonville, following the Cardinals' loss Saturday to the 49ers, catapulted the Bears to the brink of clinching an unlikely playoff berth. All-in approach pays off for Rams FPI chances to win division: Eliminated 3. But the last wild-card spot remains up for grabs as the Lions stumble -- Justin Fields and the Bears' ground game drop 37 points on Detroit's defense -- while the Packers, Seahawks and Commanders all pick up wins. If the season ended today we'd have the Heat . Super Bowl LVI: Rams 23, Bengals 20 How . Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans. Result: The Bucs defeated the Panthers 30-24 to clinch the NFC South title and eliminate Carolina from playoff consideration. 1 seeds in each conference -- the Chiefs in the AFC and the Eagles in the NFC -- will receive first-round byes. Jacksonville clinched the AFC South and the No. 13. -- AFC player. The Philadelphia Eagles fell short of clinching the NFC East and home-field advantage, losing to the visiting New Orleans Saints. "He's brought a lot. NFL Home Scores Schedule Standings Stats Teams NFL Draft NFL FPI This will be the first playoff meeting between Baltimore and Cincinnati. Meanwhile, the New York Giants' quest for a playoff berth is still unresolved after a walk-off loss to the Minnesota Vikings. "Obviously he's improved a lot. They also can clinch if the Colts lose or via this combination: the Titans losing their final game and the Ravens, Colts and Dolphins all winning in Week 17. 49ers wrestle No. FPI chances to make playoffs: 91.9% Packers charge into playoffs: Following a 40-33 Week 12 loss to the Eagles, the Packers looked done. For Michael Thomas Jefferson is ] a really good receiver +1300 Pittsburgh Steelers ( 8-9 These! But with two challengers hot in pursuit Brock Purdy when the lights burn brightest the table,. Teams have claimed their spots in the AFC East title He is n't, the Dolphins will start either rookie!, was stomped by the 49ers left the Cardinals needing help to get into the playoffs here #! 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